Sticky Carpet
by Niall Shanahan

The ESRI this week has warned inflation will rise to 3.2% while criticising Government measures, and said the Iran crisis could have lasting impact on prices, while criticising untargeted measures to help with fuel costs.

 

Professor Alan Barrett, head of the ESRI, commented that around half of the cost of cutting indirect taxes on energy would go to the top 40% of households. He added that, if the Government had designed a policy to give 50% of the Apple tax windfall to the top 40% of households it would be viewed as 'strange': “If you start having policies that direct money towards higher-income people, it reduces your capacity to insulate those at the bottom.” 

 

All of this matters of course, as Irish consumers are now "more gloomy now about their economic prospects and those of the broader economy than at any point since 2023." In this week's IRN, Andy Prendergast writes that the USA/Israel war on Iran "is shifting inflation projections, compounding affordability issues, which will in turn add pressure to pay negotiations this year – with public service talks around the corner."

 

The Road Safety Authority has had to step up its efforts to inform customers of new requirements on proof of insurance following a spike in cancellations last week. It's widely reported that around 1,200, or 11% of tests were cancelled last week. 

 

The new rules were introduced following the recent dispute with Fórsa's driver tester members, who highlighted the need for validating insurance prior to a test. The union continues to work with RSA management on implementing the new protocols, while the rate of cancellation has reduced this week, following agreement on the provision of digital insurance certification. More in that in the Services and Enterprises bulletin, which publishes later this morning.

 

Elsewhere, new CSO figures show we may be making the wrong assumption about Ireland's housing vacancy rate, while gentrification remains a game where lawyers are the ultimate winners. Rave on Izakaya, rave on.

 

Your Zen this morning is Jeff Tweedy's Lou Reed Was My Babysitter, which is as loving a tribute to the grumpy New York troubadour as I've ever heard.

 

Have a great weekend.

 

NS

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